Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 978.034778 1114.210709 1268.480475 1457.419456 1684.255247 1949.953613 2287.869129
2025-01-19 754.287449 920.139964 1125.849030 1404.166189 1777.892932 2272.911699 2996.767676
2025-01-26 679.020604 865.710615 1111.475620 1467.359488 1984.793853 2735.722054 3960.874513
2025-02-02 615.317193 812.190705 1083.954339 1499.983144 2146.837935 3163.659195 4997.446089
2025-02-09 561.550977 762.359881 1050.544098 1512.743056 2274.049612 3558.653121 6100.136825
2025-02-16 512.437695 711.953909 1007.669731 1500.992837 2355.093154 3889.907717 7197.213020
2025-02-23 484.620448 688.988276 1001.870165 1545.255805 2536.249937 4441.332994 8956.061179
2025-03-02 462.609626 671.897234 1002.173596 1598.150267 2741.392819 5092.339907 11243.052862
2025-03-09 437.611394 647.209441 986.655815 1619.863562 2890.056954 5666.874749 13644.045415
2025-03-16 410.535280 616.426225 957.212892 1611.167927 2974.803791 6122.221017 15977.571095
2025-03-23 393.060530 599.717169 949.797584 1642.397587 3149.265046 6845.702550 19643.540673
2025-03-30 364.299912 561.584794 900.833365 1585.504381 3117.605521 7033.939352 21581.778582
2025-04-06 338.461527 527.288251 857.039601 1536.451928 3102.381697 7285.342840 24077.038090
2025-04-13 314.117505 493.956285 812.348333 1480.633726 3062.747579 7464.091733 26486.305790
2025-04-20 307.939405 491.958338 825.440692 1548.074510 3340.751131 8702.881304 35298.240464
2025-04-27 298.209432 482.744433 823.779567 1583.091027 3544.566054 9802.625010 45130.671523
2025-05-04 286.874908 469.694889 813.329188 1596.759620 3694.509206 10791.711185 56143.413412
2025-05-11 273.728639 452.337705 792.746117 1584.164685 3768.013726 11537.225785 67032.050494
2025-05-18 267.550726 447.600908 797.171192 1631.628111 4030.952038 13189.467210 90349.903851
2025-05-25 262.519990 444.642255 804.908629 1688.384195 4339.511171 15250.436501 126362.301327
2025-06-01 254.800885 435.908737 799.664818 1711.693910 4547.990381 17001.557689 168131.416487
2025-06-08 244.902878 422.247383 782.702295 1702.358163 4644.948396 18266.207490 210853.844301
2025-06-15 239.041766 416.231893 781.867928 1735.891569 4903.711570 20639.061194 297703.647519